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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38015011002 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 7,320 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Bismarck

38015011002 is a census tract in Bismarck, ND. It scores 3/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 5% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,679
Renter share5.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$122,589

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.9203, -100.7192 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,588 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bismarck risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0110023.2Bismarckparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

Average gross rent is $1,588, 59% above the Bismarck average. The voucher gap is 55.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Burleigh County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $122,589, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015011002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015011002?

Census tract 38015011002 in Bismarck scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015011002?

Median gross rent is $1,588/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015011002?

2.2% of residents in tract 38015011002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,320.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015011002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 11th, minority 5th, housing 14th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38015011002 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38015011002 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015011002 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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