Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113020601 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,672 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 39113020601 covers part of the South Dayton area of Kettering, OH, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,672. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units788
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$68,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6848, -84.1527 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2004)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
At $1,280 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Kettering commands. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
The voucher gap is 18.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 29 evictions over 13 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 3.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113020601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020601?
Census tract 39113020601 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113020601?
Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020601?
4.2% of residents in tract 39113020601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,672.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 34th, minority 18th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 39113020601 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113020601 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39113020601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.99% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113020601 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113020601 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113020601 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113020601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021501
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020100
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Dayton
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Related