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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering

Tract 39113020602 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,824 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

In South Dayton in Kettering, census tract 39113020602 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #36,964 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $97,500 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 0% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units736
Renter share1.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$97,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In South Dayton
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#2,642 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.6758, -84.1556 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Dayton scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How South Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 020602Kettering: 2.42.4Ketteringparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 8.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak (2002)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130206022002: 3 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (9.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (27.27/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2018: 3 filings (7.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Dayton

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Kettering eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 8.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.0% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113020602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020602?

Census tract 39113020602 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020602?

3.4% of residents in tract 39113020602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,824.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 39th, minority 7th, housing 13th.
Q4

Is tract 39113020602 considered part of South Dayton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113020602 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 39113020602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.94% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113020602 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113020602 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113020602 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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