Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113020700 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,208 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39113020700 (South Dayton in Kettering, Ohio) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 52nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,199 a month while the average household earns $79,333 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,590
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$79,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6929, -84.1563 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 75Total filings over 17 yrs
- 0.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2014)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Kettering eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113020700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113020700?
Census tract 39113020700 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113020700?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113020700?
6.5% of residents in tract 39113020700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,208.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113020700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 7th, minority 18th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 39113020700 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113020700 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113020700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 75 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113020700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.90% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113020700 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113020700 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113020700 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Kettering at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113020700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113021800
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113020400
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021501
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113020100
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
South Dayton
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021100
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021502
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113021301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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