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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Burton Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,128 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Burton maps to a single census tract in Erie, PA, population 3,128. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Set annual rent against average household income of $26,650 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

Cost burden runs 40% against 32.9% citywide, putting Burton 7.0% over its own city. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 1,032 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 34.6% of renter households. Average gross rent is $770, 11% below the Erie average of $870. The most recent observed rate, 15.8% in 2006, is well off that peak.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Saint Mary and Baldwin Park score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Burton vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.9% +21%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$770 -11%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$26,650 -39%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
41.8% +70%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
74.5% +62%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Burton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Burton scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
41.8% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Burton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Burton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8BurtonNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Burton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42049001500 5.8 3,128 40% $770
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 98%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Burton

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,032Total filings (sum)
  • 25.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.6%Peak year (2003)
  • 15.76%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Burton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Burton?

Burton scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Burton compare to Erie overall?

Burton scores 1.4 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $770 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in Burton?

Average gross rent in Burton is $770/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Burton residents are renters?

75% of Burton households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 3,128 residents.
Q5

Is Burton a high social-vulnerability area?

Burton sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Burton for landlords?

Burton carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Burton?

Burton has 2,797 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (37.3%), Hispanic / Latino (26.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Burton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Burton.

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