1 census tracts · pop 2,192 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.8–5.8
Saint Mary is a one-tract neighborhood of Erie, PA, population 2,192. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 32.9% citywide, putting Saint Mary 29.5% over its own city.
37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.9/10.
The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Set annual rent against average household income of $27,917 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 894 evictions logged in this tract.
At $762 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Erie commands. Filing activity peaked in 2000 at 14.9% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 16.6% in 2006 against a 14.9% peak. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Erie, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Baldwin Park and Little Italy. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Saint Mary vs ErieHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Saint Mary
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
894Total filings (sum)
14.21%Avg annual filing rate
14.9%Peak year (2000)
16.63%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Saint Mary
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Saint Mary?
Saint Mary scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Saint Mary compare to Erie overall?
Saint Mary scores 1.4 points higher than Erie overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $762 vs $870.
Q3
What is the average rent in Saint Mary?
Average gross rent in Saint Mary is $762/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Saint Mary residents are renters?
62% of Saint Mary households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 2,192 residents.
Q5
Is Saint Mary a high social-vulnerability area?
Saint Mary sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Saint Mary for landlords?
Saint Mary carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Saint Mary?
Saint Mary has 1,875 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), Other / Multiracial (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
