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Neighborhood · Erie, PA

Saint Mary Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,192 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 7–7

Saint Mary is a white-black neighborhood in Erie with 1 census tract and a population of 2,192 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $762/month sits 12% lower than the Erie citywide average ($870).

Risk score
7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Saint Mary vs Erie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.4% +90%
Erie: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$762 -12%
Erie: $870
Average HH income
$27,917 -36%
Erie: $43,397
Poverty rate
35.6% +45%
Erie: 24.6%
Renter share
62.3% +36%
Erie: 45.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saint Mary and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7–7

Why Saint Mary scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
35.6% below poverty line · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Saint Mary vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Saint Mary score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Saint Mary: 7.07.0Saint MaryNeighborhoodParent city: 4.84.8Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Saint Mary

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42049000800 7 2,192 62% $762
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Saint Mary

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 894Total filings (sum)
  • 14.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak year (2000)
  • 16.63%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Saint Mary

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Saint Mary?

Saint Mary scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Saint Mary compare to Erie overall?

Saint Mary scores 2.2 points higher than Erie overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $762 vs $870.
Q3

What is the average rent in Saint Mary?

Average gross rent in Saint Mary is $762/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Saint Mary residents are renters?

62% of Saint Mary households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Erie). The neighborhood has 2,192 residents.
Q5

Is Saint Mary a high social-vulnerability area?

Saint Mary sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Saint Mary for landlords?

Saint Mary carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Erie as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Saint Mary?

Saint Mary has 1,875 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), Other / Multiracial (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Saint Mary

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Erie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Saint Mary.

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