Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Canyon Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013061050 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,291 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
04013061050 is a census tract in the Canyon Trails area of Goodyear, AZ. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 23% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,913
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$105,809
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.4284, -112.4268 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canyon Trails scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,170 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Canyon Trails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canyon Trails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Canyon Trails
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,170 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Goodyear commands.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $105,809.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061050
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061050?
Census tract 04013061050 in the Canyon Trails neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061050?
Median gross rent is $2,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061050?
9.2% of residents in tract 04013061050 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061050?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 55th, minority 72th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061050 considered part of Canyon Trails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061050 fall within Canyon Trails (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061050 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061050 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061050 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013061063
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013723304
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Canyon Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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