Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Casa Rica Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216839 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,718 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
04013216839 is a census tract in the Casa Rica area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,718. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 8%Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,656
Renter share16.1%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$160,294
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Casa Rica
Very Low
Within parent city
68th percentile
#20 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Elevated
Within county
28th percentile
#731 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.6035, -111.8624 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casa Rica scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,258 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Casa Rica compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
2%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.5%Housing insecurity
2.7%Utility-shutoff threat
5.3%Food insecurity
3.2%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
10.9%Frequent mental distress
22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casa Rica
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,258 a month, rents run 62% over what the rest of Scottsdale commands.
The voucher gap is 67.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.2% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.5% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 28 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 3.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216839
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216839?
Census tract 04013216839 in the Casa Rica neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216839?
Median gross rent is $3,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216839?
2.6% of residents in tract 04013216839 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,718.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216839?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 30th, minority 32th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216839 considered part of Casa Rica?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216839 fall within Casa Rica (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216839?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216839 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.38% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216839 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216839 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216839 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.