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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

The Trails at Scottsdale III Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013217800 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,911 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 04013217800 covers The Trails at Scottsdale III in Scottsdale in Arizona. Home to 5,911 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,911 a month while the average household earns $82,851 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 11% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,756
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$82,851

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Trails at Scottsdale III
Moderate
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Elevated
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#698 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,323 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4731, -111.9004 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Trails at Scottsdale III scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,911 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How The Trails at Scottsdale III compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Trails at Scottsdale III risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 217800Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 573Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 16.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.0%Peak (2004)
  • 100Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132178002001: 117 filings (16.81/100 renter HHs)2002: 93 filings (13.36/100 renter HHs)2003: 103 filings (14.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 160 filings (22.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 100 filings (13.68/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Trails at Scottsdale III

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 573 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 16.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.0% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217800?

Census tract 04013217800 in the The Trails at Scottsdale III neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217800?

Median gross rent is $1,911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217800?

6.5% of residents in tract 04013217800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,911.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 25th, minority 40th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217800 considered part of The Trails at Scottsdale III?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217800 fall within The Trails at Scottsdale III (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 573 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.33% of renter households, peaking at 23.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217800 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217800 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217800 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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