Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Trails at Scottsdale III Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013217800 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,911 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013217800 in the The Trails at Scottsdale III area of Scottsdale, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,756
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$82,851
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.4731, -111.9004 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Trails at Scottsdale III scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,911 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How The Trails at Scottsdale III compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 573Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.0%Peak (2004)
- 100Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Trails at Scottsdale III
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 573 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2004 at 23.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 16.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013217800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217800?
Census tract 04013217800 in the The Trails at Scottsdale III neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013217800?
Median gross rent is $1,911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217800?
6.5% of residents in tract 04013217800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,911.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 25th, minority 40th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 04013217800 considered part of The Trails at Scottsdale III?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217800 fall within The Trails at Scottsdale III (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 573 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.33% of renter households, peaking at 23.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013217800 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013217800 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013217800 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Main Street Arts District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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