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Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

The Trails at Scottsdale III Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,911 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

The Trails at Scottsdale III maps to a single census tract in Scottsdale, AZ, population 5,911. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Scottsdale rate of 29.2%.

The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

The filing record is not thin: 573 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 23.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 13.7% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #13 of 31 neighborhoods in Scottsdale. Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Buenavante and Taliesin West. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,911, close to the Scottsdale average.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Trails at Scottsdale III vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.2% +103%
Scottsdale: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,911 -5%
Scottsdale: $2,013
Average HH income
$82,851 -23%
Scottsdale: $107,372
Poverty rate
6.5% -9%
Scottsdale: 7.1%
Renter share
27.5% -17%
Scottsdale: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Trails at Scottsdale III and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why The Trails at Scottsdale III scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

The Trails at Scottsdale III vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Trails at Scottsdale III score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Trails at Scot: 3.03.0The Trails at ScotNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Trails at Scottsdale III

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013217800 3 5,911 59% $1,911
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Trails at Scottsdale III

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 573Total filings (sum)
  • 16.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.0%Peak year (2004)
  • 13.68%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Trails at Scottsdale III

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Trails at Scottsdale III

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Trails at Scottsdale III?

The Trails at Scottsdale III scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Trails at Scottsdale III compare to Scottsdale overall?

The Trails at Scottsdale III scores 0.2 points lower than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,911 vs $2,013.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Trails at Scottsdale III?

Average gross rent in The Trails at Scottsdale eviction risk III is $1,911/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Trails at Scottsdale III residents are renters?

28% of The Trails at Scottsdale III households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 5,911 residents.
Q5

Is The Trails at Scottsdale III a high social-vulnerability area?

The Trails at Scottsdale III sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Trails at Scottsdale III for landlords?

The Trails at Scottsdale eviction risk III carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Trails at Scottsdale III?

The Trails at Scottsdale III has 5,861 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.9%), Hispanic / Latino (14.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Trails at Scottsdale III

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Trails at Scottsdale III.

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