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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Rock Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013218100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,183 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 04013218100 sits in the Shadow Rock area of Scottsdale eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. Population here is 2,183. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 24% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,012
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$90,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Shadow Rock
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
High
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#565 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,035 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4620, -111.9328 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Rock scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,078 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Shadow Rock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Rock risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 218100Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 192Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.5%Peak (2003)
  • 21Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132181002001: 20 filings (9.57/100 renter HHs)2002: 27 filings (12.92/100 renter HHs)2003: 70 filings (33.49/100 renter HHs)2004: 54 filings (25.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (14.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shadow Rock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Rock

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 39% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 192 evictions over 5 years of observation.

It sits 0.6 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2003, when 33.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $2,078, close to the Scottsdale average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $90,417.

40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013218100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013218100?

Census tract 04013218100 in the Shadow Rock neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013218100?

Median gross rent is $2,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013218100?

10.6% of residents in tract 04013218100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,183.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013218100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 5th, minority 48th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 04013218100 considered part of Shadow Rock?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013218100 fall within Shadow Rock (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013218100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 192 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013218100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.24% of renter households, peaking at 33.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013218100 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013218100 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013218100 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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