Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Montecito Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013723311 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,965 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 04013723311 sits in the Montecito area of Goodyear eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 4%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$117,222
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Montecito
Moderate
Within parent city
17th percentile
#20 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Very Low
Within county
9th percentile
#923 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.3235, -112.4518 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montecito scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,382 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Montecito compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
6%Socioeconomic
8%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.3%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
6.6%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
13.7%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montecito
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Cost burden runs 35% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
At $2,382 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Goodyear commands. SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013723311
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013723311?
Census tract 04013723311 in the Montecito neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013723311?
Median gross rent is $2,382/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013723311?
2.1% of residents in tract 04013723311 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,965.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013723311?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 8th, minority 50th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 04013723311 considered part of Montecito?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013723311 fall within Montecito (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013723311 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013723311 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013723311 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.