Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003102 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,783 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 04019003102 in the Poet's Square neighborhood of Tucson ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,783 residents. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $792 monthly, set against $37,629 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2373, -110.8829 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poet's Square scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Poet's Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,035Total filings over 12 yrs
- 9.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2006)
- 77Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poet's Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.7%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Poet's Square
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,035 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.2% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04019003102
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003102?
What is the average rent in tract 04019003102?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003102?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003102?
Is tract 04019003102 considered part of Poet's Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003102?
What share of households in tract 04019003102 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019003102 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.