Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003304 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,319 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 04019003304 sits in the Poet's Square area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 3,319. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2229, -110.8822 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poet's Square scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Poet's Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,133Total filings over 12 yrs
- 17.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.1%Peak (2008)
- 113Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poet's Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Poet's Square
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs about half here against 43.8% across Pima County.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.9 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
The filing record is not thin: 2,133 evictions over 12 years of observation. At $988 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Tucson commands. The worst year on record was 2008, when 27.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 17.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04019003304
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003304?
What is the average rent in tract 04019003304?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003304?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003304?
Is tract 04019003304 considered part of Poet's Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003304?
What share of households in tract 04019003304 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019003304 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.