Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003304 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 3,319 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 04019003304 sits in the Poet's Square area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 3,319. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 32%Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,776
Renter share66.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$61,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25th percentile
#4 of 5 tracts In Poet's Square
Low
Within parent city
54th percentile
#66 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Moderate
Within county
72th percentile
#76 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
81th percentile
#340 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2229, -110.8822 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poet's Square scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$988 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Poet's Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
64%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,133Total filings over 12 yrs
17.92%Avg annual filing rate
27.1%Peak (2008)
113Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2017
Filings dropped 35% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poet's Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.4%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
14.5%Food insecurity
11.1%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
31.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poet's Square
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs about half here against 43.8% across Pima County.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.9 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
The filing record is not thin: 2,133 evictions over 12 years of observation. At $988 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Tucson commands. The worst year on record was 2008, when 27.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 17.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003304?
Census tract 04019003304 in the Poet's Square neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003304?
Median gross rent is $988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003304?
21.0% of residents in tract 04019003304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,319.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 29th, minority 65th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003304 considered part of Poet's Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003304 fall within Poet's Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,133 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.92% of renter households, peaking at 27.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003304 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003304 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003304 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.