Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Broadway Northeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004069 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,784 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
04019004069 is a census tract in the Broadway Northeast area of Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,784 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,766
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$50,826
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2140, -110.8211 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broadway Northeast scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,225 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Broadway Northeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,207Total filings over 12 yrs
- 19.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.1%Peak (2016)
- 277Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Broadway Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.4%Food insecurity
- 14.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Broadway Northeast
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 2,207 eviction filings across 12 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 31.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 19.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004069
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004069?
Census tract 04019004069 in the Broadway Northeast neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004069?
Median gross rent is $1,225/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004069?
21.2% of residents in tract 04019004069 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,784.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004069?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 92th, minority 62th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004069 considered part of Broadway Northeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004069 fall within Broadway Northeast (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004069?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,207 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004069 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.25% of renter households, peaking at 31.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004069 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004069 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004069 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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