Broadway Northeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004039 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,327 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Broadway Northeast area of Tucson centers on tract 04019004039, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,327 residents. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $855 monthly, set against $39,335 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2294, -110.8279 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broadway Northeast scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Broadway Northeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 983Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.9%Peak (2004)
- 80Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Broadway Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Broadway Northeast
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04019004039
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004039?
What is the average rent in tract 04019004039?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004039?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004039?
Is tract 04019004039 considered part of Broadway Northeast?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004039?
What share of households in tract 04019004039 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019004039 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.