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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019004122 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,153 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 04019004122, home to 4,153 residents in Emery Park in Tucson, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,323 a month against an average household income of $55,433 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$55,433

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Emery Park
Very Low
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#79 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#382 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.1414, -110.9371 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emery Park scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,323 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Emery Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emery Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 004122Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,109Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 51.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 129.1%Peak (2007)
  • 165Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190041222004: 231 filings (100.02/100 renter HHs)2005: 170 filings (71.97/100 renter HHs)2006: 159 filings (67.31/100 renter HHs)2007: 305 filings (129.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 199 filings (84.25/100 renter HHs)2009: 92 filings (38.95/100 renter HHs)2010: 175 filings (26.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 125 filings (16.73/100 renter HHs)2012: 148 filings (19.81/100 renter HHs)2013: 149 filings (19.95/100 renter HHs)2016: 191 filings (22.58/100 renter HHs)2017: 165 filings (19.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emery Park

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,109 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 51.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 129.1% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004122

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004122?

Census tract 04019004122 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004122?

Median gross rent is $1,323/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004122?

17.9% of residents in tract 04019004122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,153.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004122?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 85th, minority 92th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 04019004122 considered part of Emery Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004122 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004122?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,109 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004122 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 51.38% of renter households, peaking at 129.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019004122 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019004122 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004122 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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