Within neighborhood
29
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003707 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,771 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 04019003707 runs through Emery Park in Tucson. With 3,771 residents, it scores 5.8/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #25,269 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $921 a month against an average household income of $59,534 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,219
Renter share50.0%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$59,534
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1518, -110.9523 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emery Park scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$921 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Emery Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,441Total filings over 12 yrs
- 30.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 63.1%Peak (2005)
- 76Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Emery Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.1%Food insecurity
- 28.1%SNAP enrollment
- 18.4%Transit barriers
- 29.7%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 42.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emery Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,441 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 30.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 63.1% of renter households in 2005.
In CDC survey modeling, about 26.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003707?
Census tract 04019003707 in the Emery Park neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003707?
Median gross rent is $921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003707?
20.4% of residents in tract 04019003707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,771.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 98th, minority 91th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003707 considered part of Emery Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003707 fall within Emery Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003707?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,441 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.58% of renter households, peaking at 63.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003707 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003707 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003707 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019003506
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Keeling
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
West University
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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