Flowing Wells Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $30,040, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 43.6% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.

Average gross rent is $926, 19% below the Tucson average. SNAP participation runs 25.5% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.