Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Flowing Wells Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 14,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.1–6

Flowing Wells is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Tucson with 4 census tracts and a population of 14,770 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $985/month sits 14% lower than the Tucson citywide average ($1,145).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Flowing Wells vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.4% +38%

Tucson: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$985 -14%

Tucson: $1,145

Average HH income

$44,533 -18%

Tucson: $54,546

Poverty rate

24.3% +29%

Tucson: 18.8%

Renter share

33.2% -31%

Tucson: 48.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flowing Wells and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.1–6

Why Flowing Wells scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.7–7.0 across tracts

6.3

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–6.3 across tracts

2.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–4.0 across tracts

3.6

Tenant organizing strength

33% renter households · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts

5.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–7.2 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

24.3% below poverty line · Range 5.6–6.6 across tracts

6.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–3.4 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

Flowing Wells vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Flowing Wells?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.9 points from 5.1 to 6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

6.0 5.7 5.3 5.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Flowing Wells

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04019004514	6	3,125	65%	$926
04019004505	5.7	3,751	45%	$833
04019004515	5.3	3,476	36%	$983
04019004512	5.1	4,418	40%	$1,158

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 86%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 82%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Flowing Wells

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,367Total filings (sum)
10.59%Avg annual filing rate
16.9%Peak year (2012)
9.18%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Flowing Wells

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.4%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility shutoff threat
24.5%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
19.0%No health insurance
40.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Flowing Wells

What is the eviction-risk score for Flowing Wells?

Flowing Wells scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Flowing Wells compare to Tucson overall?

Flowing Wells scores 2.3 points higher than Tucson overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $985 vs $1,145.

What is the average rent in Flowing Wells?

Average gross rent in Flowing Wells eviction risk is $985/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Flowing Wells residents are renters?

33% of Flowing Wells households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 14,770 residents.

Is Flowing Wells a high social-vulnerability area?

Flowing Wells sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Flowing Wells have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Flowing Wells is census tract 04019004514 (score 6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 6, a spread of 0.9 points.

How safe is Flowing Wells for landlords?

Flowing Wells eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Flowing Wells?

Flowing Wells has 14,615 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.4%), Hispanic / Latino (43.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Flowing Wells

5.8 Amphitheater 4 tracts · pop 18,031 4.5 Silvercroft 3 tracts · pop 10,071 6.3 Keeling 2 tracts · pop 8,091 5.2 Twelve Hundred River Condominums 3 tracts · pop 10,105 2.5 Casas Adobes 4 tracts · pop 13,904 3.7 Jaynes 2 tracts · pop 12,820

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Flowing Wells.

5.5 Barrio Hollywood 3 tracts · pop 8,430 5.5 Dunbar Spring 1 tracts · pop 1,314 5.6 Barrio Blue Moon 1 tracts · pop 2,092 5.4 Vandenberg Village 4 tracts · pop 16,347 5.4 Emery Park 8 tracts · pop 40,254 5.4 Samos 3 tracts · pop 12,024

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