Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista
Tract 06073012900 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,374 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06073012900 in the Castle Park area of Chula Vista, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,374 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$103,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6274, -117.0676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Park scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,590 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Castle Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Castle Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 14.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Park
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,590, 16% above the Chula Vista average. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
56% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $103,438. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073012900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012900?
Census tract 06073012900 in the Castle Park neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073012900?
Median gross rent is $2,590/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012900?
5.4% of residents in tract 06073012900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,374.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 58th, minority 75th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 06073012900 considered part of Castle Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012900 fall within Castle Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073012900 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073012900 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073012900 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Castle Park
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Boal
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor Side
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Fruitdale
9
/ 10 · Very High
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