Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Eastlake Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista
Tract 06073013315 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 4,006 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 06073013315 sits in the Eastlake Greens area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 7%Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$139,476
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 5 tracts In Eastlake Greens
Very High
Within parent city
42th percentile
#32 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Moderate
Within county
27th percentile
#535 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
39th percentile
#5,582 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6449, -116.9593 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastlake Greens scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,466 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Eastlake Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
18%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastlake Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.6%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastlake Greens
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Cost burden runs 57% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,466, 11% above the Chula Vista average.
On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $139,476.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073013315
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013315?
Census tract 06073013315 in the Eastlake Greens neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073013315?
Median gross rent is $2,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013315?
8.4% of residents in tract 06073013315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,006.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013315?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 36th, minority 87th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 06073013315 considered part of Eastlake Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013315 fall within Eastlake Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073013315 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073013315 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073013315 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.