Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Eastlake Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013321 · San Diego, CA · pop 8,310 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 06073013321 covers part of the Eastlake Greens area of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units2,225

Renter share19.5%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate9.4%

Median income$148,068

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6233, -116.9553 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastlake Greens scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.4% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$2,682 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Eastlake Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastlake Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
21.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastlake Greens

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

Average gross rent is $2,682, 20% above the Chula Vista average. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

It sits 0.8 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

55% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $148,068.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013321

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013321?

Census tract 06073013321 in the Eastlake Greens neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013321?

Median gross rent is $2,682/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013321?

9.4% of residents in tract 06073013321 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,310.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013321?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 65th, minority 85th, housing 22th.

Is tract 06073013321 considered part of Eastlake Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013321 fall within Eastlake Greens (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013321 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013321 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013321 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.