Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Eastlake Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista
Tract 06073013316 · San Diego, CA · pop 7,890 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 06073013316 in the Eastlake Greens area of Chula Vista, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. At $3,039 a month, rents run 36% over what the rest of Chula Vista commands.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$141,364
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6353, -116.9623 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastlake Greens scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,039 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Eastlake Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastlake Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastlake Greens
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Cost burden runs 46% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.
That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $141,364.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073013316
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013316?
Census tract 06073013316 in the Eastlake Greens neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073013316?
Median gross rent is $3,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013316?
5.2% of residents in tract 06073013316 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013316?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 31th, minority 84th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 06073013316 considered part of Eastlake Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013316 fall within Eastlake Greens (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073013316 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073013316 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073013316 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Boal
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Castle Park
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor Side
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9
/ 10 · Very High
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