Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Chula Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06073013320 · San Diego, CA · pop 7,187 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Chula Vista

Census tract 06073013320 covers part of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,187 residents. At $3,103 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Chula Vista commands.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 18% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,960

Renter share41.8%

SVI overall0.24

Poverty rate3.6%

Median income$123,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6248, -116.9358 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chula Vista scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,103 rent vs county FMR

5.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Chula Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.1%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
21.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chula Vista

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.1 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 56% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $123,000.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013320

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013320?

Census tract 06073013320 in Chula Vista scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013320?

Median gross rent is $3,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013320?

3.6% of residents in tract 06073013320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,187.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013320?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 15th, minority 86th, housing 21th.

What share of households in tract 06073013320 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013320 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013320 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.