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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho del Rey Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013414 · San Diego, CA · pop 7,256 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06073013414 covers part of the Rancho del Rey area of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,256 residents. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, roughly one in eight of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 7% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,527
Renter share8.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$143,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Rancho del Rey
Low
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#551 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#5,947 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6312, -117.0128 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho del Rey scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Rancho del Rey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho del Rey risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 013414Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho del Rey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho del Rey

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013414

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013414?

Census tract 06073013414 in the Rancho del Rey neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013414?

7.1% of residents in tract 06073013414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,256.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013414?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 18th, minority 87th, housing 33th.
Q4

Is tract 06073013414 considered part of Rancho del Rey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013414 fall within Rancho del Rey (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073013414 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073013414 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013414 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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