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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho del Rey Eviction Risk: Lower , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013414 · San Diego, CA · pop 7,256 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 06073013414, home to 7,256 residents in Rancho del Rey in Chula Vista, scores 4.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 14% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $143,600 a year. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 7% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,527
Renter share8.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$143,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Rancho del Rey
Very Low
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#613 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,640 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6312, -117.0128 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho del Rey scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Rancho del Rey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho del Rey risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 013414Chula Vista: 8.38.3Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho del Rey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho del Rey

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the San Diego County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013414

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013414?

Census tract 06073013414 in the Rancho del Rey neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013414?

7.1% of residents in tract 06073013414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,256.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013414?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 18th, minority 87th, housing 33th.
Q4

Is tract 06073013414 considered part of Rancho del Rey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013414 fall within Rancho del Rey (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073013414 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073013414 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013414 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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