Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho del Rey Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013421 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,008 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06073013421 sits in the Rancho del Rey area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. It is home to 4,008 residents. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,298

Renter share22.1%

SVI overall0.40

Poverty rate6.9%

Median income$145,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6454, -117.0210 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho del Rey scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.9% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,704 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Rancho del Rey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho del Rey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.5%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
23.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho del Rey

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

Average gross rent is $2,704, 21% above the Chula Vista average. It sits 1.0 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $145,000.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013421

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013421?

Census tract 06073013421 in the Rancho del Rey neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013421?

Median gross rent is $2,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013421?

6.9% of residents in tract 06073013421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,008.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013421?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 82th, minority 84th, housing 19th.

Is tract 06073013421 considered part of Rancho del Rey?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013421 fall within Rancho del Rey (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013421 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013421 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013421 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.