Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Rancho del Rey Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista
Tract 06073013420 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,159 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 7/10, tract 06073013420 in the Rancho del Rey area of Chula Vista, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,159 residents. Severe burden reaches 47%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units962
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$127,222
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6400, -117.0212 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rancho del Rey scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,874 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Rancho del Rey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rancho del Rey. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rancho del Rey
Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $2,874 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Chula Vista commands.
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $127,222. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073013420
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013420?
Census tract 06073013420 in the Rancho del Rey neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073013420?
Median gross rent is $2,874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013420?
9.2% of residents in tract 06073013420 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013420?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 34th, minority 88th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 06073013420 considered part of Rancho del Rey?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013420 fall within Rancho del Rey (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073013420 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073013420 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073013420 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Castle Park
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Boal
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor Side
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9
/ 10 · Very High
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