Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Hope Valley North Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063002007 · Durham County, NC · pop 5,036 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 37063002007 in the Hope Valley North area of Durham, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,036. Cost burden runs 18% here against 43.8% across Durham County.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,401
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$92,035
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9488, -78.9380 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hope Valley North scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,416 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Hope Valley North compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 718Total filings over 11 yrs
- 14.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.1%Peak (2011)
- 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hope Valley North. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hope Valley North
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 718 evictions over 11 years of observation. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 0.8 points below the Durham County average of 4.1. The worst year on record was 2011, when 23.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002007?
Census tract 37063002007 in the Hope Valley North neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002007?
Median gross rent is $1,416/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002007?
7.7% of residents in tract 37063002007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,036.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 55th, minority 61th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002007 considered part of Hope Valley North?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002007 fall within Hope Valley North (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002007?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 718 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.02% of renter households, peaking at 23.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063002007 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063002007 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002007 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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