Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
The Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063002019 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,752 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 37063002019 sits in the The Downs area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. It is home to 4,752 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,537
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$78,191
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.8887, -78.9888 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Downs scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,489 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How The Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 812Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2009)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Downs
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 38% here against 43.8% across Durham County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 812 filings here across 11 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 8.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002019
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002019?
Census tract 37063002019 in the The Downs neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002019?
Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002019?
9.6% of residents in tract 37063002019 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,752.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002019?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 6th, minority 39th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002019 considered part of The Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002019 fall within The Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002019?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 812 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002019 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.03% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063002019 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063002019 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002019 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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