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Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121020205 · Denton, TX · pop 2,731 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Denton

Denton anchors census tract 48121020205, which lands at 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 13% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 15% of renter households, a modest level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,435 a month against an average household income of $113,266 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,213
Renter share11.7%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$113,266

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 34 tracts In Denton
Very Low
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 193 tracts In Denton
Elevated
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#5,298 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.3226, -97.0792 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,435 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 020205Denton: 3.03.0Dentonparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2012)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210202052001: 2 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (7.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (9.88/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (6.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 13Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Denton County average of 5.0 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.9% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020205?

Census tract 48121020205 in Denton scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020205?

Median gross rent is $1,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020205?

2.6% of residents in tract 48121020205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,731.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 62th, minority 45th, housing 29th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020205?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 48121020205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.92% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020205 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121020205 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020205 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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