The Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Ridge

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 72% above the Lake Ridge average. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Prince William County average of 43.3%.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $96,500, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.1/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions over 1 years of observation.

SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.