The Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Ridge
Tract 51153901223 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,194 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Heights in Lake Ridge anchors census tract 51153901223, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,953 a month while the average household earns $109,492 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lake Ridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6896, -77.2946 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Heights scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow The Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 1 yrs
- 14.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.6%Peak (2016)
- 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in The Heights
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Ridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 63 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 14.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.6% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901223
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901223?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901223?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901223?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901223?
Is tract 51153901223 considered part of The Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901223?
What share of households in tract 51153901223 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901223 compare to Lake Ridge overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Ridge
Top eight tracts in Lake Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.