Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Delta Eviction Risk: Lower , Alexandria

Tract 51510200202 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 1,532 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 51510200202, in Delta in Alexandria eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,532. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $250,001 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 6% Owners 92%

Tract context

Occupied units606

Renter share8.4%

SVI overall0.06

Poverty rate1.7%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8171, -77.0975 · click any tract to drill in

Why Delta scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alexandria

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

1.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alexandria

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alexandria

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alexandria

5.5

How Delta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Delta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.2%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
4.0%Food insecurity
2.6%SNAP enrollment
3.0%Transit barriers
3.6%No health insurance
10.9%Frequent mental distress
21.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Delta

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alexandria City County average of 5.9 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510200202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200202?

Census tract 51510200202 in the Delta neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51510200202?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200202?

1.7% of residents in tract 51510200202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,532.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 18th, minority 36th, housing 17th.

Is tract 51510200202 considered part of Delta?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200202 fall within Delta (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51510200202 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51510200202 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510200202 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.