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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121021202 · Denton, TX · pop 4,196 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

48121021202 is a census tract in the Denton Square area of Denton, TX. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,196. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 16% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$62,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
Very Low
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 34 tracts In Denton
Moderate
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#36 of 193 tracts In Denton
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2037, -97.1181 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,113 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 021202Denton: 3.83.8Dentonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 294Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2007)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210212022001: 17 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (0.80/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2004: 27 filings (1.66/100 renter HHs)2005: 19 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2007: 45 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (6.88/100 renter HHs)2013: 30 filings (7.94/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 224Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.12×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-02-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.5% across Denton County. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,113 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Denton commands.

Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 294 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 2.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021202?

Census tract 48121021202 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121021202?

Median gross rent is $1,113/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021202?

6.9% of residents in tract 48121021202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,196.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 40th, minority 75th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 48121021202 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021202 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 294 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48121021202 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121021202 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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