Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020506 · Denton, TX · pop 1,921 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Denton
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48121020506 in Denton, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,921 residents. Average gross rent is $800, 44% below the Denton average.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units602
Renter share20.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$77,153
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2538, -97.0712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$800 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2016)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 54% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 104Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 filings here across 13 tracked years. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 0.8 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. The worst year on record was 2016, when 13.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $77,153, annual rent is just 12%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020506
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020506?
Census tract 48121020506 in Denton scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020506?
Median gross rent is $800/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020506?
8.3% of residents in tract 48121020506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,921.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020506?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 82th, minority 71th, housing 31th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020506?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020506 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.65% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020506 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121020506 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020506 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021414
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020605
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related