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Neighborhood · League City, TX

Magnolia Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 16,302 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Magnolia Creek is a 4-tract neighborhood of League City, TX and houses 16,302 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The voucher gap is 33.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.4/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $1,500 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of League City commands.

Against a League City baseline of 30.5%, 28% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of League City, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $138,245, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Magnolia Creek vs League City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.5% -10%
League City: 30.5%
Average gross rent
$1,500 -11%
League City: $1,684
Average HH income
$138,245 +11%
League City: $124,967
Poverty rate
4.0% -14%
League City: 4.6%
Renter share
4.5% -82%
League City: 25.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Magnolia Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3

Why Magnolia Creek scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
5% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–10.0 across tracts
7.8
Risk score comparison

Magnolia Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Magnolia Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Magnolia CreekNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Magnolia Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Magnolia Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48167720506 3 5,682 0% ,
48167720507 3 4,960 46% $2,266
48167720512 3 2,999 64% $2,735
48167720508 3 2,661 12% $1,884
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 6%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Magnolia Creek

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 85Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly observed
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.96×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Magnolia Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Magnolia Creek?

Magnolia Creek scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Magnolia Creek compare to League City overall?

Magnolia Creek scores 0.2 points lower than League City overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,500 vs $1,684.
Q3

What is the average rent in Magnolia Creek?

Average gross rent in Magnolia Creek is $1,500/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Magnolia Creek residents are renters?

5% of Magnolia Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in League City). The neighborhood has 16,302 residents.
Q5

Is Magnolia Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Magnolia Creek sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Magnolia Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Magnolia Creek is census tract 48167720506 (score 3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Magnolia Creek for landlords?

Magnolia Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to League City as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Magnolia Creek?

Magnolia Creek has 16,527 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.9%), Hispanic / Latino (19.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Magnolia Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside League City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Magnolia Creek.

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