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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Captains Row Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria

Tract 51510202001 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,401 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51510202001 sits in the Captains Row area of Alexandria eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Average gross rent is $3,000, 44% above the Alexandria average.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 12% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,260
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate0.1%
Median income$207,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Captains Row
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 48 tracts In Alexandria
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 48 tracts In Alexandria city
Very Low
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8006, -77.0439 · click any tract to drill in

Why Captains Row scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,000 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5

How Captains Row compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Captains Row risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 2020015.9Alexandriaparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Captains Row. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Captains Row

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 29.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 3.7% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

SNAP participation runs 2.5% against 15.2% nationally. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Alexandria City average of 41.2%. Against the Alexandria City average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $207,313, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510202001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510202001?

Census tract 51510202001 in the Captains Row neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51510202001?

Median gross rent is $3,000/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510202001?

0.1% of residents in tract 51510202001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510202001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 3th, minority 15th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51510202001 considered part of Captains Row?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510202001 fall within Captains Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51510202001 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51510202001 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510202001 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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