Delta Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria

At $3,501 a month, rents run 68% over what the rest of Alexandria commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Alexandria City average of 41.2%.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Housing insecurity runs 4.2% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Alexandria City average of 5.7.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.