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Neighborhood · Buckhall, VA

Bradley Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,235 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Bradley Forest maps to a single census tract in Buckhall, VA and houses 3,235 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,972, 20% below the Buckhall average of $2,478. The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 8.7% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.3% of adults, 8.5 points below the national rate.

That places it #4 of 4 neighborhoods in Buckhall. Judgments average 2.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 7% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $133,455, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bradley Forest vs Buckhall How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
0.0% -100%
Buckhall: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$1,972 -20%
Buckhall: $2,478
Average HH income
$133,455 -21%
Buckhall: $169,591
Poverty rate
4.1% -29%
Buckhall: 5.8%
Renter share
7.3% -34%
Buckhall: 11.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradley Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Bradley Forest scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
0% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
7% renter households · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
4.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Bradley Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bradley Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3Bradley ForestNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bradley Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901304 3.3 3,235 0% $1,972
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bradley Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6Total filings (sum)
  • 8.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.70%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bradley Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bradley Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bradley Forest?

Bradley Forest scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bradley Forest compare to Buckhall overall?

Bradley Forest scores 0.7 points lower than Buckhall overall (4/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,972 vs $2,478.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bradley Forest?

Average gross rent in Bradley Forest is $1,972/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bradley Forest residents are renters?

7% of Bradley Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Buckhall). The neighborhood has 3,235 residents.
Q5

Is Bradley Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Bradley Forest sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bradley Forest for landlords?

Bradley Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buckhall as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bradley Forest?

Bradley Forest has 3,181 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.8%), Hispanic / Latino (16.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bradley Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buckhall

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bradley Forest.

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