Carolina Chase Eviction Risk: Lower
1 census tracts · pop 5,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2
Carolina Chase maps to a single census tract in Gainesville, VA and houses 5,770 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.2/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 59% against 31.7% citywide, putting Carolina Chase 27.6% over its own city.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The filing record is not thin: 123 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 26.4% of renter households. At $2,113 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Gainesville commands.
Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Gainesville, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 2.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Waterfall Village and Crossroads Village.
Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 3.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Carolina Chase and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2
Why Carolina Chase scores 3.2
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyCarolina Chase vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
1 tracts in Carolina Chase
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51153901508 | 3.2 | 5,770 | 59% | $2,113 |
CDC SVI percentile: 47
Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Carolina Chase
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings (sum)
- 26.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.4%Peak year (2016)
- 26.39%Latest filed (2016)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carolina Chase
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 26.6%Any disability
About Carolina Chase
How does Carolina Chase compare to Gainesville overall?
What is the average rent in Carolina Chase?
What percentage of Carolina Chase residents are renters?
Is Carolina Chase a high social-vulnerability area?
How safe is Carolina Chase for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Carolina Chase?
Other neighborhoods near Carolina Chase
Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carolina Chase.