1 census tracts · pop 3,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.5-5.5
TGM Bull Run is a diverse neighborhood in Bull Run with 1 census tract and a population of 3,837 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 74% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,794/month sits 6% lower than the Bull Run citywide average ($1,907).
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
TGM Bull Run vs Bull RunHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in TGM Bull Run
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.5%Housing insecurity
14.1%Utility shutoff threat
29.3%Food insecurity
24.6%SNAP enrollment
20.3%No health insurance
36.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About TGM Bull Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for TGM Bull Run?
TGM Bull Run scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does TGM Bull Run compare to Bull Run overall?
TGM Bull Run scores 0.7 points higher than Bull Run overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 74% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,794 vs $1,907.
Q3
What is the average rent in TGM Bull Run?
Average gross rent in TGM Bull Run is $1,794/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of TGM Bull Run residents are renters?
65% of TGM Bull Run households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Bull Run). The neighborhood has 3,837 residents.
Q5
Is TGM Bull Run a high social-vulnerability area?
TGM Bull Run sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is TGM Bull Run for landlords?
TGM Bull Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bull Run as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of TGM Bull Run?
TGM Bull Run has 3,801 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.