Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Canyon Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013061051 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,666 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 04013061051 sits in the Canyon Trails area of Goodyear eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 9% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,340
Renter share12.7%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$118,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.4429, -112.4181 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canyon Trails scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,875 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Canyon Trails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canyon Trails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 11.9%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Canyon Trails
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,875, close to the Goodyear average.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $118,929.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061051
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061051?
Census tract 04013061051 in the Canyon Trails neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061051?
Median gross rent is $1,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061051?
0.4% of residents in tract 04013061051 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,666.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061051?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 33th, minority 80th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061051 considered part of Canyon Trails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061051 fall within Canyon Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061051 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061051 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061051 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013061063
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013723304
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Canyon Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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