Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Estrella Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear

Tract 04013061049 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,815 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013061049 covers the Estrella Vista area of Goodyear, home to 5,815 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 70% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,063 a month against an average household income of $110,299 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 7% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,751

Renter share23.0%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate4.8%

Median income$110,299

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4282, -112.4010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Estrella Vista scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goodyear

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

4.8% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$2,063 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goodyear

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goodyear

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goodyear

5.9

How Estrella Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Estrella Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.7%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
13.8%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
12.0%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
25.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Estrella Vista

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061049

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061049?

Census tract 04013061049 in the Estrella Vista neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061049?

Median gross rent is $2,063/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061049?

4.8% of residents in tract 04013061049 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,815.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061049?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 31th, minority 73th, housing 2th.

Is tract 04013061049 considered part of Estrella Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061049 fall within Estrella Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013061049 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061049 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061049 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.