Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422617 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,574 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013422617 in the Continental at Superstition Springs area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,574 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,093
Renter share15.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$114,544
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3731, -111.6789 · click any tract to drill in
Why Continental at Superstition Springs scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,261 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Continental at Superstition Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 310Total filings over 5 yrs
- 53.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 77.0%Peak (2004)
- 50Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Continental at Superstition Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Continental at Superstition Springs
At $2,261 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Mesa commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The voucher gap is 16.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 310 filings here across 5 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2004 at 77.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 53.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422617
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422617?
Census tract 04013422617 in the Continental at Superstition Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422617?
Median gross rent is $2,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422617?
3.0% of residents in tract 04013422617 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422617?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 26th, minority 41th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422617 considered part of Continental at Superstition Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422617 fall within Continental at Superstition Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422617?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 310 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422617 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 53.72% of renter households, peaking at 77.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422617 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422617 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422617 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Related
Explore the geography around tract 04013422617
Parent city ↑
Mesa
3.2 / 10
Parent county ↑
Maricopa
Parent state ↑
Arizona
Sibling tract →
Continental at Superstition Springs
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Continental at Superstition Springs
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Continental at Superstition Springs
3.5 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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