Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally

Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013422609 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,490 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013422609 sits in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood of Mesa, Arizona. It has a population of 4,490 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,606/month against a median household income of $79,600 — roughly 24% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.0
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$79,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 6 tracts In Fountain of the Sun
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank — 66th percentileBottomTop
#46 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Elevated
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank — 44th percentileBottomTop
#564 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank — 54th percentileBottomTop
#805 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4014, -111.6749 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fountain of the Sun scores 5.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Fountain of the Sun compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fountain of the Sun risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 422609Mesa: 3.13.1Mesaparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2005)
  • 21Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134226092001: 17 filings (6.80/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (4.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (6.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422609

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422609?

Census tract 04013422609 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422609?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422609?

9.9% of residents in tract 04013422609 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,490.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422609?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 75th, minority 55th, housing 71th.

Q5

Is tract 04013422609 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422609 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422609?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422609 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422609 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013422609 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013422609 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related