Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422610 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,064 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 04013422610 covers part of the Fountain of the Sun area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,064 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,716
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$57,090
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4007, -111.6589 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fountain of the Sun scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,385 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fountain of the Sun compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.3%Peak (2004)
- 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.4%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 9.7%Frequent mental distress
- 40.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,385, 15% below the Mesa average. The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422610
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422610?
Census tract 04013422610 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422610?
Median gross rent is $1,385/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422610?
6.0% of residents in tract 04013422610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,064.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422610?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 41th, minority 10th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422610 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422610 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422610?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422610 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422610 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422610 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422610 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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