Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Woodridge Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 18,992 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Woodridge Lakes spans 4 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 18,992. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Mesa baseline of 32.3%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,777 across 4 observed tracts.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 44.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 14.6% in 2005, is well off that peak.

Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #20 by risk, the middle third. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Eastmark and Rancho de Arboleda.

Against average income of $104,109, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Woodridge Lakes vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.5% +50%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,705 +5%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$104,109 +32%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

6.8% -35%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

24.4% -31%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Woodridge Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3

Why Woodridge Lakes scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

24% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts

1.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–5.7 across tracts

3.7

Risk score comparison

Woodridge Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Woodridge Lakes?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Woodridge Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013420800	3	5,478	49%	$1,335
04013420604	3	4,958	74%	$1,730
04013420602	3	4,792	31%	$2,090
04013420504	3	3,764	37%	$1,718

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 43%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Woodridge Lakes

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,777Total filings (sum)
17.74%Avg annual filing rate
44.0%Peak year (2004)
15.35%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Woodridge Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.3%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
10.9%No health insurance
28.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Woodridge Lakes

What is the eviction-risk score for Woodridge Lakes?

Woodridge Lakes scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Woodridge Lakes compare to Mesa overall?

Woodridge Lakes scores 0.2 points lower than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,705 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Woodridge Lakes?

Average gross rent in Woodridge Lakes is $1,705/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Woodridge Lakes residents are renters?

24% of Woodridge Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 18,992 residents.

Is Woodridge Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Woodridge Lakes sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Woodridge Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Woodridge Lakes is census tract 04013420800 (score 3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.

How safe is Woodridge Lakes for landlords?

Woodridge Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Woodridge Lakes?

Woodridge Lakes has 18,835 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68%), Hispanic / Latino (21.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Woodridge Lakes

3 Rancho de Arboleda 3 tracts · pop 10,822 4.4 Mesa Patios 7 tracts · pop 24,912 4.2 Fuller Ranch 5 tracts · pop 21,917 3.9 Hohokam Village 3 tracts · pop 10,125 3.9 Royal Palm Village 6 tracts · pop 23,352 3 Homestead 2 tracts · pop 8,152

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Woodridge Lakes.

3 Parkwood Ranch 1 tracts · pop 6,939 3 Copperstone 2 tracts · pop 8,545 3 Eastmark 2 tracts · pop 14,285 3 Rancho de Arboleda 3 tracts · pop 10,822 3 Knoell East 3 tracts · pop 8,032 3 Cadence 1 tracts · pop 6,069

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