Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Canyon Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Goodyear
Tract 04013061057 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,400 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
How risky is Canyon Trails in Goodyear for landlords? Census tract 04013061057 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.
81% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,958 a month while the average household earns $79,688 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,212
Renter share31.8%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$79,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goodyear and the region
Centroid at 33.4525, -112.4413 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canyon Trails scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,958 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9
How Canyon Trails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canyon Trails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Canyon Trails
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061057
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061057?
Census tract 04013061057 in the Canyon Trails neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061057?
Median gross rent is $1,958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061057?
6.2% of residents in tract 04013061057 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,400.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061057?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 33th, minority 67th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061057 considered part of Canyon Trails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061057 fall within Canyon Trails (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061057 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061057 compare to Goodyear overall?
Tract 04013061057 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear
Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wildflower Ranch
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013061063
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013723304
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Estrella Vista
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Centerra
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pebblecreek
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013061064
2.2
/ 10 · Low
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