Dove Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 55.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Court records for this tract carry 32 eviction filings.

Against a Phoenix baseline of 31.0%, roughly one in four of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 5.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 7.7% of adults, 10.1 points below the national rate. The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 22.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.7% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #84 by risk, the lower third.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.